Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.325932 0.437471 0.567028 0.726270 0.914364 1.127200 1.383925
2025-11-16 0.187174 0.321219 0.501792 0.751727 1.077699 1.477984 1.995909
2025-11-23 0.100523 0.229423 0.432902 0.748354 1.196946 1.785646 2.589456
2025-11-30 0.061159 0.185930 0.413851 0.801960 1.391701 2.203772 3.354684
2025-12-07 0.034740 0.147396 0.387477 0.834676 1.555785 2.590475 4.102855
2025-12-14 0.017590 0.112991 0.354079 0.845343 1.683017 2.930478 4.803903
2025-12-21 0.007173 0.081812 0.312541 0.829778 1.762391 3.201776 5.418953
2025-12-28 0.002840 0.063448 0.290647 0.843694 1.887316 3.544014 6.146241
2026-01-04 0.000777 0.047543 0.265952 0.844915 1.987431 3.850472 6.830743
2026-01-11 0.000060 0.032196 0.231746 0.816383 2.028876 4.064022 7.383008
2026-01-18 NaN 0.021662 0.204394 0.795301 2.078891 4.290402 7.959224
2026-01-25 NaN 0.015629 0.189200 0.799364 2.175104 4.594409 8.661247
2026-02-01 NaN 0.009238 0.163006 0.768822 2.202369 4.789343 9.209915
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007322 0.161383 0.806510 2.371300 5.231887 10.159760
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004723 0.148862 0.808706 2.466000 5.550490 10.923426
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004156 0.154374 0.868342 2.687342 6.097339 12.063714
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003166 0.152770 0.904531 2.859944 6.563960 13.086052
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002027 0.144603 0.916645 2.979926 6.940922 13.972319
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000977 0.129709 0.900591 3.034582 7.201928 14.675896
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000549 0.123738 0.915540 3.160646 7.595456 15.603436
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000236 0.115006 0.916943 3.254327 7.931663 16.442431
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000041 0.099976 0.886780 3.269323 8.121864 17.042891
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000002 0.087995 0.864467 3.300404 8.341788 17.696182